Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Syntax (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b5b6e691ad34efeaf4db8ea08d0171239703d76b86d18a3ba8d020218bbee89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Power Rangers, Team Syntax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Power Rangers | 60c | 1,680$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.45 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Syntax | 42c | 923.91$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.04 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Syntax | 41c | 619.17$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.57 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed Power Rangers | 55c | 365.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.57 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Syntax | 50c | 267.67$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Syntax | 43c | 216.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Syntax | 42c | 190$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed Power Rangers | 56c | 178.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Power Rangers | 61c | 135.52$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Team Syntax | 37c | 108.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…77abbacked Power Rangers | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Power Rangers | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Team Syntax | 42c | 85.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Syntax | 31c | 71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Syntax | 39c | 66.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Team Syntax | 40c | 58.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…b6b4backed Power Rangers | 60c | 58.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Syntax | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…47c8backed Power Rangers | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Team Syntax | 49c | 36.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Power Rangers | 51c | 28.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Team Syntax | 46c | 27.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Team Syntax | 37c | 27.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Syntax (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Syntax (BO3) - EPL Masters Group APower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Syntax - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Syntax - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.