Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bae77a270bd11cf9717e3ce2f59585126d8875d02bd351779d788e643b11128
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1155…86f5backed No | 61c | 210.42$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…d40fbacked No | 61c | 197.48$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…78febacked No | 61c | 196.29$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf10…231fbacked No | 61c | 195.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…6e75backed No | 61c | 195.34$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…bcb4backed No | 61c | 195.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…193dbacked No | 61c | 194.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…69d1backed No | 61c | 194.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…b45bbacked No | 61c | 194.6$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…a0bbbacked No | 61c | 194.06$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc988…c19fbacked No | 61c | 193.06$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa13a…b333backed No | 61c | 192.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…4233backed No | 61c | 191.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1485…f7e2backed No | 61c | 188.49$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…d649backed No | 61c | 183.74$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.