CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bf77ef2c9642d67ef2a067d73e4eca16e77894a33d53fdef4b4b55ac4c2e604
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Lazer Cats, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Lazer Cats | 13c | 3,012$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.86 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Alliance | 77c | 1,900$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lazer Cats | 23c | 1,088$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.31 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Lazer Cats | 23c | 730.47$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.01 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lazer Cats | 14c | 408.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lazer Cats | 12c | 153.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…108dbacked Lazer Cats | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Lazer Cats | 19c | 60.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Alliance | 77c | 56.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…a955backed Alliance | 68c | 42.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…79cabacked Lazer Cats | 32c | 42.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Alliance | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.