Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Basavareddy (-1.5) vs Engel (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c5caad8c16a34ea6b6263cdfdd298b5cc735bfaf5e712807cd3ad9e15f28308
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basavareddyof Basavareddy, Engel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Basavareddy | 55c | 202.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Engel | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Engel | 45c | 121$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Engel | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Engel | 45c | 71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Engel | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0436…f431backed Engel | 45c | 52.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Basavareddy | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Engel | 45c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Engel | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Basavareddy | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Basavareddy | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Basavareddy | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Basavareddy | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Basavareddy | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Basavareddy | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Basavareddy | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Basavareddy | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Basavareddy | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Basavareddy | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Basavareddy | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Basavareddy | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Basavareddy (-1.5) vs Engel (+1.5)this page
- Basavareddy vs. Engel: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Justin EngelBasavareddy won
- Set 1 Winner: Basavareddy vs EngelBasavareddy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.