Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cce80bb0b70baa0e4b95ea933677cefb76b281d6b13c515db86aeefb3cdac46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Gozenof G2 Gozen, SK Nebula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed G2 Gozen | 58c | 573.16$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.73 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked SK Nebula | 42c | 554.56$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.03 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…c31cbacked G2 Gozen | 62c | 175.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked SK Nebula | 46c | 127.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SK Nebula | 39c | 114.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SK Nebula | 43c | 105.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked SK Nebula | 35c | 95.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SK Nebula | 45c | 93.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed G2 Gozen | 63c | 86.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed G2 Gozen | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -13.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f77…664abacked G2 Gozen | 60c | 41.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed G2 Gozen | 59c | 32.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…6fb4backed G2 Gozen | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Gozen vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: G2 Gozen vs SK Nebula - Map 2 WinnerG2 Gozen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.