Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Vermont vs. NJIT
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d345dd152fccfaa060e9fdbeba0aae3a22b11a5bee59d781723535e355856ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vermontof Vermont, NJIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked NJIT | 14c | 209$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a9…7b74backed Vermont | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked NJIT | 18c | 110.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed NJIT | 19c | 81.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked NJIT | 18c | 80.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7db7backed NJIT | 21c | 79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…75bcbacked NJIT | 21c | 78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…7e97backed NJIT | 21c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…93fcbacked NJIT | 21c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…6d03backed NJIT | 21c | 57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +110%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d8…376cbacked Vermont | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab8…596cbacked Vermont | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…6b89backed Vermont | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c4…82c4backed Vermont | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316e…301dbacked Vermont | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…a196backed Vermont | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…dd7cbacked Vermont | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d95…4fe1backed Vermont | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca5…5f4fbacked Vermont | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…5ca2backed Vermont | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…34b9backed Vermont | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.