Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d9414f7818a04e0c7f2c24a6bbaf49599b94679d65b9e5fe4ff69deb30e4a0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 3,734$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.59 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 39c | 2,603$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.96 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 68c | 1,803$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.96 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 47c | 376.97$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.49 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 47c | 213.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.37 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 61c | 207.61$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 46c | 25.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 87 | 82.8%72 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc1…cde8backed Yes | 52c | 20.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Brøndby IF vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.