Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Baylor vs. Cincinnati
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dbba5abe0ecc9cb453de7c5483e06fb2c769d4b9e571f9624194392878579af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnatiof Baylor, Cincinnati
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Cincinnati | 68c | 162.63$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Baylor | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44db…10fcbacked Cincinnati | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1722…fdcdbacked Cincinnati | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…2912backed Cincinnati | 57c | 106$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef0…a024backed Baylor | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…6107backed Cincinnati | 55c | 87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7208…ad04backed Baylor | 44c | 87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7e…9d7fbacked Baylor | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4686…5637backed Baylor | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0c…6687backed Baylor | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…79b6backed Baylor | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Cincinnati | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3c…04b2backed Cincinnati | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…2903backed Baylor | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…8adcbacked Baylor | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Baylor | 43c | 30.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…d0ddbacked Baylor | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1132…43cbbacked Baylor | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…6c0ebacked Baylor | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47d5…3f2dbacked Baylor | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…99a9backed Baylor | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…b7cebacked Baylor | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf82…4ef9backed Baylor | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…0069backed Baylor | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…ec5abacked Baylor | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…2efabacked Baylor | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2372…75a7backed Cincinnati | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…7891backed Baylor | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1e…8562backed Cincinnati | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee8…b801backed Cincinnati | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…ed5abacked Cincinnati | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…2712backed Cincinnati | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d79…6774backed Cincinnati | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3c…0c91backed Cincinnati | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…020abacked Cincinnati | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6670…41acbacked Cincinnati | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…bfe4backed Cincinnati | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…1ed9backed Cincinnati | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7619…b9d4backed Cincinnati | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9185…fb9bbacked Cincinnati | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37c…7c6dbacked Cincinnati | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428e…f4a3backed Cincinnati | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.