Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Riccardo Orsolini score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e33ba8127bfc5469022ab2cb6666fe531d0abe9f74d5e7b8ca88c8ee800d4c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eb0…ba2cbacked No | 68c | 242.66$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f58…7becbacked No | 68c | 237.92$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…9d17backed No | 68c | 234.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5b…e06bbacked No | 68c | 230.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e9…9107backed No | 68c | 229.09$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…0b41backed No | 68c | 228.59$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0029…80ecbacked No | 68c | 228.25$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x499a…febcbacked No | 68c | 227.27$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…d1f6backed No | 68c | 226.48$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…d3a0backed No | 68c | 224.15$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f1…0e51backed No | 68c | 221.45$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…c156backed No | 68c | 220.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x022c…59c8backed No | 68c | 216.81$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…d4c8backed No | 68c | 215.77$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…f965backed No | 68c | 215.37$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Riccardo Orsolini score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?this page
- Will Igor Jesus score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.