Tennis · resolved market
ITF Evansville: Yuki Naito vs Madison Brengle
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f30029881fc1fdf43c9c8ed4c2b4567373335adfe4479d4749791f21f74737b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yuki Naitoof Yuki Naito, Madison Brengle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Madison Brengle | 33c | 3,217$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.57 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Yuki Naito | 22c | 1,835$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.91 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Madison Brengle | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yuki Naito | 71c | 587.91$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.43 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…19e6backed Madison Brengle | 63c | 553.7$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yuki Naito | 67c | 207.52$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Madison Brengle | 64c | 195$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.61 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Madison Brengle | 41c | 169.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 291 | 47.8%139 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Yuki Naito | 36c | 159$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Madison Brengle | 70c | 140.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfb…6386backed Madison Brengle | 12c | 133.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…08bcbacked Madison Brengle | 15c | 109.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Madison Brengle | 42c | 104$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Yuki Naito | 15c | 97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7690backed Yuki Naito | 35c | 71.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Madison Brengle | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Madison Brengle | 57c | 57.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Yuki Naito | 38c | 54.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…ab4cbacked Madison Brengle | 68c | 51.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Yuki Naito | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Yuki Naito | 46c | 46.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Madison Brengle | 66c | 45.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yuki Naito | 50c | 44.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Madison Brengle | 39c | 37.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Madison Brengle | 39c | 37.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Madison Brengle | 39c | 37.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yuki Naito | 36c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Madison Brengle | 63c | 32.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Madison Brengle | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Madison Brengle | 46c | 29.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Madison Brengle | 59c | 27.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Madison Brengle | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Madison Brengle | 63c | 18.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.