Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Heerenveen vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f52d4598026119f588a83205520dae990ea7f96858d8cfb1a671204a2cf8648
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 10c | 6,419$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.9 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 4,361$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.24 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 2,007$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.55 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 18c | 1,249$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 77c | 720$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 79c | 603.31$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.7 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 78c | 534.47$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.58 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 78c | 467.56$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 79c | 463$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 22c | 460$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 23c | 226.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 180.26$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 12c | 162.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 124.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 19c | 104.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 23c | 103.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…9fedbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 68.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 21c | 57.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 44.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 76c | 34.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…fcd4backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 65cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 26.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 58c | 17.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Heerenveen vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?this page
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.