Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marquette vs. UConn
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4faa162389de3f8a8d59f60e7a67f6c200598462126ed4f603f5669dd39a007d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UConnof Marquette, UConn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked UConn | 63c | 556$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.75 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Marquette | 36c | 480$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.97 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed UConn | 51c | 123$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d3…0de3backed UConn | 75c | 121$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd98a…354bbacked UConn | 62c | 109$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…ebd1backed Marquette | 25c | 83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…1e9abacked UConn | 50c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +178.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Marquette | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…7f1cbacked Marquette | 25c | 79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bed…7b28backed Marquette | 38c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…6464backed UConn | 62c | 73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…7dedbacked Marquette | 33c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf670…7037backed Marquette | 33c | 64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51c…ce3fbacked Marquette | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…6750backed Marquette | 39c | 59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa190…bca6backed Marquette | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfe…1c14backed UConn | 61c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed UConn | 65c | 54.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…5d80backed Marquette | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab1…6666backed Marquette | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…91e4backed Marquette | 33c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1a…09a9backed UConn | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…4089backed UConn | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Marquette | 36c | 45.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…6a70backed Marquette | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…ab67backed Marquette | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef8d…862fbacked Marquette | 39c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…c59bbacked UConn | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +168.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa26d…6eedbacked UConn | 61c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9d…1401backed Marquette | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd240…2767backed UConn | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…9242backed Marquette | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…255dbacked Marquette | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…3ff9backed UConn | 67c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a0…e751backed Marquette | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be9…c14fbacked Marquette | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3953…ea64backed UConn | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…07b0backed Marquette | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…abd7backed Marquette | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…1e38backed UConn | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…2c1bbacked UConn | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce67…4f21backed Marquette | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…8157backed Marquette | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3882…f6d1backed UConn | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 45cpaid | +148.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87fc…2727backed UConn | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…1549backed UConn | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…cd07backed UConn | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…dcb7backed UConn | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…2ae4backed UConn | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…9277backed Marquette | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd29e…04a5backed Marquette | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…f3dfbacked Marquette | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc179…5198backed UConn | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x508f…0afcbacked Marquette | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…bb98backed UConn | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…3c02backed UConn | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a89…f3e4backed UConn | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…5e48backed Marquette | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe53…9eb1backed Marquette | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f7…34a3backed UConn | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…5037backed UConn | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4e…2809backed Marquette | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed UConn | 64c | 25.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…4886backed UConn | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…a3fbbacked UConn | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ece…4573backed UConn | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44cb…b250backed UConn | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691c…ac5dbacked UConn | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7021…2045backed UConn | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339f…a60abacked UConn | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ece…c68bbacked UConn | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…8e4dbacked UConn | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd1…96d1backed UConn | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…f787backed UConn | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…3463backed UConn | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…b5dcbacked UConn | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ec…1d30backed UConn | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…df0cbacked UConn | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e0…98fabacked UConn | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd337…cc46backed UConn | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…3739backed UConn | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…b208backed UConn | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f5…33e9backed UConn | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c0…01edbacked UConn | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…8b13backed UConn | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…460fbacked UConn | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6241…17dcbacked UConn | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…09f4backed UConn | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.