Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Siniakova (-1.5) vs Bouzkova (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fb3dc3330db54580665e7d557635d6a691ee721f0eddcb80d65a9ae2df1c4eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bouzkovaof Siniakova, Bouzkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8f6…49b6backed Siniakova | 1c | 65,568$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.09 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.37per pick | 45cpaid | +72%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4072…e5abbacked Siniakova | 0c | 27,358$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0302…3d89backed Siniakova | 0c | 15,632$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…92f9backed Siniakova | 0c | 14,231$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…33f3backed Siniakova | 0c | 12,242$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd387…9f65backed Siniakova | 0c | 10,911$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…36a8backed Siniakova | 0c | 10,297$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…6b0abacked Siniakova | 67c | 7,573$5,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,086.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Bouzkova | 14c | 4,254$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654.19 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Siniakova | 1c | 2,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,090 | 52.6%573 W · 517 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…7274backed Siniakova | 1c | 1,868$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Bouzkova | 13c | 1,135$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.5 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Bouzkova | 78c | 400.27$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +24.4wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…0720backed Bouzkova | 15c | 194.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Siniakova | 34c | 126.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1e…f51cbacked Bouzkova | 14c | 105.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Bouzkova | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…faedbacked Bouzkova | 65c | 36.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Siniakova (-1.5) vs Bouzkova (+1.5)this page
- Bouzkova vs. Siniakova: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Katerina SiniakovaMarie Bouzkova won
- Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs SiniakovaBouzkova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.