NHL · resolved market
AHL: Grand Rapids Griffins vs. Milwaukee Admirals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fd804621e7796e9272c0a3ca4c9e4be3c4725fac26571477a426a97e82e0378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Admiralsof Grand Rapids Griffins, Milwaukee Admirals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa707…03c1backed Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 984$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.08 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…5af0backed Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 759$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…cc38backed Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 633$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +124%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef7…9da3backed Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 566$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…e4edbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 558$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…2ca3backed Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 529$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…8dfbbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 491$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8029…9b12backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 450$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…106ebacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 426$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 64cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…19d0backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 317$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…7743backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 317$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9a…4215backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 316$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac0…0207backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 309$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…7a48backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 299$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb1…7b5cbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 280$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…928cbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 267$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…8d30backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 212$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9863…c3e0backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 211$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 61c | 33.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…d0d6backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.