NBA · resolved market
Will Jaylen Brown score 25+ points against the Knicks?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x502e7b6b20a77dee204e4f45c7852742b9cdd9323ad483820a2b1df0b7126969
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed No | 42c | 799.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yes | 58c | 667.23$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.31 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 58c | 105.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 41c | 92.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4c…3006backed No | 44c | 85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e1…be58backed Yes | 58c | 83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Yes | 58c | 78.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…3ef7backed No | 44c | 59.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…8481backed Yes | 58c | 58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd665…072fbacked No | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 44c | 37.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 56c | 24.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.