Lol · resolved market
LoL: BRUTE vs CITA Kaizen (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x502e8021e160a3f0b4ae7f56e086336f54bfb6a74f8dd6e5a42075eff848c100
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BRUTEof BRUTE, CITA Kaizen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,544 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x568c…fbd0backed BRUTE | 77c | 3,265$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CITA Kaizen | 23c | 2,704$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.85 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked CITA Kaizen | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…dcbabacked CITA Kaizen | 16c | 350$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed BRUTE | 71c | 341.21$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed CITA Kaizen | 15c | 303.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed CITA Kaizen | 23c | 261$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed CITA Kaizen | 23c | 161$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…3421backed CITA Kaizen | 67c | 119.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed CITA Kaizen | 12c | 113.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed BRUTE | 38c | 104.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed CITA Kaizen | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…069ebacked CITA Kaizen | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…a5fbbacked CITA Kaizen | 61c | 96.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked CITA Kaizen | 62c | 69.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc5…625dbacked CITA Kaizen | 55c | 54.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed CITA Kaizen | 20c | 49.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BRUTE | 32c | 45.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed BRUTE | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed BRUTE | 60c | 16.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: BRUTE vs CITA Kaizen (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsthis page
- LoL: BRUTE vs CITA Kaizen - Game 3 WinnerCITA Kaizen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.