Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Maryland vs. Michigan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x504fa7be30c2e35b057adb682880d531505712f62a88918a963336182d9bd8c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marylandof Maryland, Michigan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maryland | 44c | 305.68$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.37 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…05dcbacked Michigan | 50c | 257$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…3aa3backed Maryland | 47c | 229.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.73 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2771…c8a9backed Maryland | 50c | 221$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Michigan | 55c | 176.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a8…48fabacked Maryland | 45c | 132.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…5798backed Maryland | 50c | 126$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074b…5535backed Michigan | 58c | 106.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e4…22a6backed Maryland | 45c | 104.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f0…28ccbacked Maryland | 44c | 104.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…0fe8backed Michigan | 57c | 102.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…84cbbacked Michigan | 57c | 102.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5479…4c74backed Michigan | 58c | 73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Michigan | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84d…82d9backed Maryland | 42c | 61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Michigan | 57c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…9c7dbacked Maryland | 42c | 56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa542…b099backed Michigan | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…a27fbacked Michigan | 54c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d6…4973backed Michigan | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…8e21backed Maryland | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe323…9d7ebacked Michigan | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…da6dbacked Michigan | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Maryland | 42c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…828fbacked Michigan | 58c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a0…b60fbacked Maryland | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…292cbacked Michigan | 54c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…5d37backed Michigan | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Michigan | 52c | 37.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Maryland | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…11b2backed Maryland | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…a608backed Maryland | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8576…5517backed Maryland | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b0…62f5backed Maryland | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fab…f415backed Maryland | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…7dd0backed Michigan | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Michigan | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…d71cbacked Maryland | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…8246backed Michigan | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…c980backed Michigan | 57c | 28.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…dcb7backed Maryland | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d50…8032backed Maryland | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3a…d5b3backed Michigan | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee1…71a3backed Maryland | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b0…087fbacked Maryland | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…97fabacked Michigan | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…288bbacked Maryland | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc2…9a30backed Michigan | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f0…6951backed Michigan | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab0…a389backed Maryland | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…f51cbacked Maryland | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d0…34d0backed Maryland | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9d…2165backed Michigan | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…fd67backed Michigan | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…21babacked Michigan | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…a73fbacked Maryland | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…e87fbacked Maryland | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16aa…9ac3backed Michigan | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e45…f17bbacked Michigan | 56c | 23.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125d…80bdbacked Michigan | 59c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…50e5backed Maryland | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf02…48a9backed Michigan | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152b…39ecbacked Michigan | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x776a…55f4backed Michigan | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…622cbacked Michigan | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…5a49backed Michigan | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…f0fcbacked Michigan | 54c | 21.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d3…7df8backed Michigan | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…7d31backed Michigan | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.