Lol · resolved market
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs StoneHenge Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5064cc5fff1696500549994d6860a5e21d9bbefc100e852716059ee754276d8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colossal Gamingof Colossal Gaming, StoneHenge Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Colossal Gaming | 59c | 1,140$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.36 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked StoneHenge Esports | 74c | 436.44$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.41 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Colossal Gaming | 40c | 334.35$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.11 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked StoneHenge Esports | 41c | 248.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed StoneHenge Esports | 43c | 158.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed StoneHenge Esports | 40c | 114.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed StoneHenge Esports | 40c | 95.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed StoneHenge Esports | 40c | 89.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Colossal Gaming | 57c | 44.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7190…00e7backed Colossal Gaming | 42c | 38.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed StoneHenge Esports | 76c | 37.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked StoneHenge Esports | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed StoneHenge Esports | 40c | 26.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.