Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x509ef81d5ec958c7af0a16ba6f2d97acecfe50f46054a5efef19e89305e3b70c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof KRÜ Spark, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,670 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ShindeN | 56c | 504.9$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.67 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed KRÜ Spark | 60c | 214$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked KRÜ Spark | 44c | 201.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KRÜ Spark | 44c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…615bbacked KRÜ Spark | 33c | 151.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KRÜ Spark | 41c | 151.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ShindeN | 67c | 146.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed ShindeN | 72c | 145.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed ShindeN | 28c | 79.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ShindeN | 42c | 78.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked ShindeN | 27c | 68.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ShindeN | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked KRÜ Spark | 51c | 34.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked ShindeN | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group StageShindeN won
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs ShindeN - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.