NHL · resolved market
AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Calgary Wranglers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50a8b708290c3effad10f8ee36e104fa3c0c593b8ace47f86dc6456875feebd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Calgary Wranglersof Colorado Eagles, Calgary Wranglers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf795…4b3ebacked Calgary Wranglers | 37c | 882$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Colorado Eagles | 64c | 766.07$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.28 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06e…7f1cbacked Calgary Wranglers | 37c | 747$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd03…a537backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 707$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Calgary Wranglers | 36c | 701$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.64 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…b384backed Calgary Wranglers | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…3363backed Calgary Wranglers | 37c | 655$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…39ebbacked Calgary Wranglers | 37c | 641$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…85cebacked Calgary Wranglers | 37c | 616$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa751…ba09backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 468$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…5c4fbacked Colorado Eagles | 63c | 443$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd336…cecebacked Colorado Eagles | 63c | 433$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…6f8fbacked Colorado Eagles | 63c | 430$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…d51abacked Colorado Eagles | 63c | 396$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…05ccbacked Colorado Eagles | 63c | 317$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d6…1582backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 257$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…48bdbacked Colorado Eagles | 63c | 220$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c6…5791backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 208$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9098…8114backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 187$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…5983backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 175$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.