Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Vallejo (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50e780ce79c80175a96722ccff4106fc0ee3fdc69d30a220e2bb99b92d7ad3e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cobolliof Cobolli, Vallejo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf677…0e56backed Cobolli | 46c | 1,692$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.63 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Cobolli | 56c | 527.62$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.42 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Vallejo | 56c | 472.9$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.08 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Vallejo | 55c | 429.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.05 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Vallejo | 55c | 422.22$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.22 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Vallejo | 57c | 373.08$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.39 | 150 | 39.3%59 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63b…b8cfbacked Vallejo | 59c | 343.81$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Vallejo | 39c | 327$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Vallejo | 40c | 249.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Vallejo | 60c | 199.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cobolli | 41c | 198.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…c2e6backed Cobolli | 43c | 139.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Vallejo | 62c | 117.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…4c5abacked Cobolli | 47c | 102.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Vallejo | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Cobolli | 41c | 88.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Vallejo | 57c | 68.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Cobolli | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Vallejo | 58c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7c…1549backed Vallejo | 57c | 48.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Cobolli | 47c | 48.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Vallejo | 56c | 19.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Vallejo (+1.5)this page
- Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio CobolliFlavio Cobolli won
- Set 1 Winner: Vallejo vs CobolliCobolli won
- Vallejo vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.