Fifa International · resolved market
Antoine Semenyo: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5179e0807eb30f35f71a250ae1e6bf46b0dc03000062c9c082f726fb3f9efd4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Yes | 15c | 645.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 16c | 500.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 16c | 295.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9a…64b1backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 13c | 208.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 14c | 187.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes | 14c | 175.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Yes | 15c | 163.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 15c | 101.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f358backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Yes | 16c | 63.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Antoine Semenyo: 1+ goalsthis page
- Andrej Kramarić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 3+ shotsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Igor Matanović: 3+ goalsNo won
- Igor Matanović: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Marco Pašalić: 1+ shotsNo won
- Marco Pašalić: 2+ goalsNo won
- Marco Pašalić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Martin Baturina: 1+ assistsNo won
- Martin Baturina: 1+ goalsNo won
- Martin Baturina: 2+ goalsNo won
- Martin Baturina: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nikola Vlašić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nikola Vlašić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Petar Musa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Petar Musa: 1+ shotsNo won
- Petar Musa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Petar Musa: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Toni Fruk: 3+ goalsNo won
- Toni Fruk: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.