Tennis · resolved market
ITF Nakhon Pathom: Kasidit Samrej vs Anton Shepp
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51ac9725a62fbde709b5115cbea86ac78ab93aa0c44315686cc6b7350e84b127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anton Sheppof Kasidit Samrej, Anton Shepp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kasidit Samrej | 40c | 988.81$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.09 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anton Shepp | 60c | 749.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Anton Shepp | 55c | 218$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Kasidit Samrej | 58c | 102.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Anton Shepp | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Kasidit Samrej | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…cf5dbacked Anton Shepp | 56c | 89.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42e…74b5backed Kasidit Samrej | 45c | 82.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kasidit Samrej | 49c | 59.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Anton Shepp | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Kasidit Samrej | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Anton Shepp | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Anton Shepp | 42c | 35.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Anton Shepp | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Anton Shepp | 45c | 29.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Anton Shepp | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Kasidit Samrej | 56c | 17.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.