CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51c1ca5f9481368e3068baaaa14fecaac21eebfaabeb60b1039f9e6bfee9e76b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof ASTRAL, BASEMENT BOYS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3079…1d64backed ASTRAL | 55c | 7,011$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BASEMENT BOYS | 46c | 6,303$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.55 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed BASEMENT BOYS | 34c | 628.9$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.28 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd9…b321backed ASTRAL | 45c | 613.33$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…44edbacked ASTRAL | 37c | 478.82$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BASEMENT BOYS | 54c | 339.66$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…2034backed ASTRAL | 69c | 317.72$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 310.78$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.98 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…a4d4backed BASEMENT BOYS | 61c | 201.49$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed BASEMENT BOYS | 76c | 167.02$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 49c | 159.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL | 45c | 154.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806d…f8c7backed BASEMENT BOYS | 68c | 147.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed ASTRAL | 68c | 147.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed BASEMENT BOYS | 56c | 130.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BASEMENT BOYS | 57c | 115$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 94.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 61c | 93.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed BASEMENT BOYS | 54c | 92.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed ASTRAL | 53c | 75.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…75c2backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 62cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed BASEMENT BOYS | 47c | 68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ASTRAL | 48c | 66.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed BASEMENT BOYS | 61c | 65.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked ASTRAL | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed ASTRAL | 49c | 47.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BASEMENT BOYS | 63c | 46.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d8…4e9cbacked ASTRAL | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed BASEMENT BOYS | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 41c | 38.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…151fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 71c | 35.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed BASEMENT BOYS | 56c | 30.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked ASTRAL | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…6614backed BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 27.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4544…9995backed BASEMENT BOYS | 62c | 26.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 65c | 23.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 1 WinnerBASEMENT BOYS won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.