CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51c6688e7d625ce8abeea508db35aa4235db9b8db4a05c79d30e5c550ce154a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eternal premiumof CSDIILIT, eternal premium
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,261 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc10c…265abacked CSDIILIT | 1c | 4,576$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed CSDIILIT | 19c | 1,300$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.09 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked CSDIILIT | 67c | 854.83$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.66 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679d…6f07backed CSDIILIT | 13c | 680.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed eternal premium | 30c | 542.44$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.56 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked eternal premium | 74c | 435.25$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked eternal premium | 39c | 257.39$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.43 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked CSDIILIT | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed eternal premium | 25c | 150.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.27per pick | 15cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…b779backed eternal premium | 40c | 127.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed eternal premium | 37c | 112.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed eternal premium | 38c | 95.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed CSDIILIT | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked eternal premium | 38c | 72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked eternal premium | 36c | 49.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed eternal premium | 40c | 37.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed eternal premium | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked CSDIILIT | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked CSDIILIT | 61c | 20.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed eternal premium | 68c | 19.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed CSDIILIT | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs eternal premium - Map 2 Winnereternal premium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.