CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51f0d6dd1f4ba2e8214c86a4162b561dc24afc868722965768a9155dcfea312b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,074 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed 1WIN | 31c | 1,521$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.23 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Nemiga | 54c | 1,505$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.29 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…be0fbacked Nemiga | 1c | 1,036$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Nemiga | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1WIN | 37c | 897.77$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.18 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 1WIN | 51c | 860.33$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.27 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 34c | 802.24$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.52 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nemiga | 46c | 690.57$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.21 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Nemiga | 59c | 438.93$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.06 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Nemiga | 77c | 244.72$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.81 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nemiga | 69c | 236.18$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.97 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed 1WIN | 34c | 204.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.76 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…cd54backed Nemiga | 71c | 147.56$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Nemiga | 66c | 127.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga | 69c | 115.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Nemiga | 43c | 90.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Nemiga | 75c | 66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nemiga | 68c | 27.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Nemiga | 77c | 21.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.