CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x522a68504fcb6f18707700d3bea929c9db5ce67dee128db44130c29a418d9078
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AM Gamingof AM Gaming, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,363 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Johnny Speeds | 50c | 800$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.3 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed AM Gaming | 50c | 615.97$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.61 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 24c | 534.55$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked AM Gaming | 74c | 521$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.2 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 31c | 190.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…816ebacked AM Gaming | 77c | 130.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Johnny Speeds | 78c | 128.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Johnny Speeds | 20c | 121$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked AM Gaming | 68c | 110.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed AM Gaming | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb1…e9f4backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Johnny Speeds | 31c | 80.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Johnny Speeds | 28c | 73.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked AM Gaming | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed AM Gaming | 63c | 58.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed AM Gaming | 69c | 43.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked AM Gaming | 77c | 36.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked AM Gaming | 66c | 30.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed AM Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 WinnerAM Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.