Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bucknell vs. Lafayette
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52921e3e855c5a5b98e8e848d44c32db8030934ea0d2ca0bff846b3ed7ed9d82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucknellof Bucknell, Lafayette
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x288d…dc1dbacked Lafayette | 56c | 86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31f6…2ff3backed Lafayette | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5459…c7ccbacked Lafayette | 25c | 61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…48e1backed Bucknell | 44c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…4ea9backed Bucknell | 44c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bucknell | 55c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc272…bfb1backed Bucknell | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…df05backed Lafayette | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Lafayette | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Bucknell | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…beafbacked Bucknell | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83f…d2cebacked Bucknell | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…ae7fbacked Lafayette | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…3cfbbacked Bucknell | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e7…efb3backed Lafayette | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Lafayette | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…30e8backed Lafayette | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…f303backed Bucknell | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abd…2955backed Lafayette | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Lafayette | 44c | 25.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13e…dd1dbacked Bucknell | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…98c3backed Lafayette | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…45dcbacked Lafayette | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…809cbacked Bucknell | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1f…bfb1backed Bucknell | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c42…1b0fbacked Lafayette | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4f…11eabacked Lafayette | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1185…fbabbacked Lafayette | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…c2a2backed Bucknell | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…31b0backed Lafayette | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x603b…d944backed Lafayette | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…cc20backed Bucknell | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccb…1aa9backed Lafayette | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf097…30c4backed Bucknell | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb072…b72cbacked Bucknell | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.