Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs BRUTE (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52be513cca9d890d95d3187ddcfc750fb0332f353fdf4b13344f43f30b8efd5a

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: eSubaof eSuba, BRUTE
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $34,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,402 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd6a3…9738backed eSuba	74c	11,881$8,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,142.05	600	53.2%319 W · 281 L	+15.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed eSuba	77c	9,059$7,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,049.77	409	70.2%287 W · 122 L	+30.9wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb81c…2dd4backed BRUTE	23c	8,696$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.03	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed BRUTE	24c	5,934$1,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,445.03	1,014	47.6%483 W · 531 L	+8.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed BRUTE	17c	3,270$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.29	1,320	38.6%510 W · 810 L	-66.0wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked BRUTE	33c	2,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	1,368	37.7%516 W · 852 L	-6.8wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed BRUTE	27c	1,714$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.54	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f8…ecc1backed BRUTE	15c	1,678$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+130.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked BRUTE	15c	1,451$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.73	447	43.6%195 W · 252 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed BRUTE	19c	975$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.25	318	38.1%121 W · 197 L	-15.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed BRUTE	20c	912.99$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.04	260	42.3%110 W · 150 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe93c…76ebbacked BRUTE	25c	706.87$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.28	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2831…8fabbacked eSuba	78c	642.16$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.28	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed BRUTE	17c	394.12$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4f…e6ffbacked BRUTE	16c	392$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.72	159	50.9%81 W · 78 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed BRUTE	25c	368$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.49	608	49.5%301 W · 307 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed BRUTE	29c	339.01$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.71	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed BRUTE	27c	300$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	127	46.5%59 W · 68 L	+8.6wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed BRUTE	21c	259.77$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.33	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed BRUTE	16c	254.94$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.79	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed BRUTE	23c	250$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	282	40.4%114 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked BRUTE	24c	200$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	166	34.9%58 W · 108 L	-19.4wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed BRUTE	19c	199.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	520	46%239 W · 281 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe89e…d4a7backed BRUTE	16c	194.25$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.08	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked BRUTE	20c	170.89$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.18	87	49.4%43 W · 44 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked BRUTE	20c	165$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	256	40.6%104 W · 152 L	-10.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked BRUTE	34c	159.18$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.69	351	49.3%173 W · 178 L	+11.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78fd…4b88backed BRUTE	16c	150$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4238…3734backed BRUTE	17c	118.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5900…45ebbacked BRUTE	16c	113.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.13	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c64…afe2backed BRUTE	20c	78.59$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb94a…e11bbacked eSuba	79c	33.03$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.91	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+32%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61e1…c227backed eSuba	79c	25.19$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.24	82	81.7%67 W · 15 L	+9.7wins	+0.12per pick	70cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x47ca…98cfbacked eSuba	79c	24.18$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.08	21	90.5%19 W · 2 L	+3.2wins	+0.15per pick	75cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed eSuba	78c	16$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.52	42	69%29 W · 13 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed eSuba	75c	15.31$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.83	1,181	66%780 W · 401 L	+70.1wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa004…e6e6backed eSuba	79c	15.02$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.12	29	89.7%26 W · 3 L	+6.1wins	+0.21per pick	69cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Game Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs BRUTE (+1.5)this page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: BRUTE vs eSuba (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular SeasoneSuba won
LoL: BRUTE vs eSuba - Game 1 WinnereSuba won
LoL: BRUTE vs eSuba - Game 2 WinnereSuba won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Game Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs BRUTE (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event