Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Blue Otter vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52f0205b8374fe4e45d5e6a44d52d7750a6d8f9f428b7f5a2db3c1f15433ce23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Azure Dragon Gamingof Blue Otter, Azure Dragon Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Blue Otter | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 50c | 1,234$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.75 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Blue Otter | 25c | 683.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 66c | 301.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…8b8cbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 50c | 266.5$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 64c | 88.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Blue Otter | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bec0backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 70c | 21.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Blue Otter vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagethis page
- Valorant: Blue Otter vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAzure Dragon Gaming won
- Valorant: Blue Otter vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAzure Dragon Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.