CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53388ec62d51a436704d2b1c2ed0ea96d627886da317325149028cd3a761b41b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Prospectsof SHISHKA, CYBERSHOKE Prospects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1661…4b37backed SHISHKA | 57c | 3,000$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.46 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 45c | 2,025$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SHISHKA | 57c | 1,308$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.41 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 40c | 1,111$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.46 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 44c | 606.5$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.11 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 43c | 558.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.21 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SHISHKA | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed SHISHKA | 58c | 176.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked SHISHKA | 61c | 158.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SHISHKA | 37c | 129.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 42c | 126.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SHISHKA | 44c | 113.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed SHISHKA | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked SHISHKA | 43c | 94.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed SHISHKA | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…f557backed SHISHKA | 61c | 82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed SHISHKA | 60c | 62.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SHISHKA | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 40c | 54.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SHISHKA | 59c | 47.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 44c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c2…be71backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 45c | 39.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…1e9abacked SHISHKA | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 PlayoffsCYBERSHOKE Prospects won
- Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Prospects won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.