Tennis · resolved market
Prague 2 (Doubles): Recek/Siniakov vs Kielan/Hernandez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5370e0b2f40791081d300c46580ae8a9b2e0c8b649d958efd4b7fd7a6f9dade0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Recek/Siniakovof Recek/Siniakov, Kielan/Hernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3970…44cebacked Recek/Siniakov | 55c | 51,144$28,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,912.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kielan/Hernandez | 48c | 26,112$12,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,588.8 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d696backed Kielan/Hernandez | 47c | 8,935$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +938.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kielan/Hernandez | 34c | 6,292$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.56 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kielan/Hernandez | 40c | 2,189$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.43 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Kielan/Hernandez | 40c | 2,100$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Kielan/Hernandez | 47c | 1,350$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.01 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kielan/Hernandez | 32c | 999.94$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.98 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Kielan/Hernandez | 50c | 811.76$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.88 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b47…6713backed Kielan/Hernandez | 37c | 801.24$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…4b69backed Kielan/Hernandez | 40c | 733.79$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.18 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Kielan/Hernandez | 40c | 494.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Kielan/Hernandez | 48c | 142.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Kielan/Hernandez | 41c | 47.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Kielan/Hernandez | 50c | 46.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 232 | 56.5%131 W · 101 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed Recek/Siniakov | 51c | 23.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -51%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…50d4backed Recek/Siniakov | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.