WNBA · resolved market
Wings vs Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x538437e1b9483e551bff3ef9f8e1f549e7814182d3c8a556222444e7a1bfe805
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dreamof Wings, Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dream | 61c | 897.44$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Wings | 39c | 897.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Dream | 70c | 691.88$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Dream | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Wings | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Dream | 64c | 134.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Wings | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Dream | 73c | 70.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Wings | 26c | 60.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dream | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Wings | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Wings | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wings | 32c | 41.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Dream | 68c | 41.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Wings | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Wings | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.