Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53b8769c3449460548233907a6d108ab00d62cbfbe44c86a2bdf507c58936582
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,010 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Under | 54c | 2,440$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.97 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 1,882$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.25 | 1,231 | 48.2%593 W · 638 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…7192backed Over | 51c | 1,473$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…4041backed Under | 49c | 1,473$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 55c | 244.92$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Over | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 46c | 122$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 45c | 116.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Under | 56c | 41.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Over | 45c | 36.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Over | 48c | 23.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsUnicorns Of Love Sexy Edition won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 WinnerUnicorns Of Love Sexy Edition won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.