NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53cb86f876494803d8127f54f7bc1f093c298afa70802029905a3a6a99d9c1af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Suns, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Suns | 63c | 16,534$10,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,439.63 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks | 48c | 9,822$4,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,107.44 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Suns | 53c | 9,099$4,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,795.68 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Mavericks | 41c | 5,863$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.44 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Suns | 51c | 5,180$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.18 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Suns | 55c | 4,729$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.79 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Mavericks | 66c | 4,478$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.41 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Suns | 52c | 4,273$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.03 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Suns | 54c | 4,262$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.29 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Mavericks | 45c | 4,008$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.37 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Mavericks | 48c | 3,935$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.16 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns | 50c | 3,672$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.42 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 52c | 3,114$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.76 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Suns | 50c | 2,820$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.19 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Mavericks | 46c | 2,570$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.04 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Mavericks | 64c | 2,570$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.41 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 43c | 2,085$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.21 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Mavericks | 42c | 1,966$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.11 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Suns | 55c | 1,946$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.3 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Mavericks | 58c | 1,465$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.3 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 45c | 1,305$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Mavericks | 46c | 1,287$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.18 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Suns | 56c | 1,242$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.15 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,173$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.2 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Mavericks | 45c | 1,122$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.07 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,098$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.08 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,072$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,050$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.49 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,011$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.37 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Suns | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.8 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…e9c8backed Suns | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 46c | 999.91$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.95 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 980.91$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.84 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Suns | 53c | 839.71$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.05 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc89a…70d3backed Mavericks | 50c | 830.47$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…4acdbacked Mavericks | 50c | 830.47$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Mavericks | 41c | 798.83$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.82 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Suns | 39c | 751.9$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.89 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Mavericks | 43c | 738.42$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.95 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Mavericks | 44c | 682$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.74 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec60…8ad8backed Mavericks | 54c | 650$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.5 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Suns | 79c | 624.94$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.7 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Mavericks | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.86 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Suns | 64c | 599.3$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.55 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Mavericks | 52c | 539.94$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.49 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Mavericks | 52c | 532.07$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.39 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Mavericks | 53c | 529.64$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Mavericks | 53c | 529.64$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Mavericks | 53c | 529.64$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Mavericks | 53c | 528.07$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.59 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Mavericks | 53c | 528.07$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.59 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Mavericks | 53c | 522.35$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.51 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Suns | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.08 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed Mavericks | 43c | 404.29$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.44 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Mavericks | 42c | 374.96$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.13 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Suns | 55c | 356.21$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.56 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Suns | 48c | 343.92$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.08 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Suns | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Mavericks | 58c | 334.79$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.61 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Suns | 47c | 328.57$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.16 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Mavericks | 44c | 320$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Mavericks | 48c | 317.61$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Mavericks | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Mavericks | 52c | 276.11$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Mavericks | 48c | 259.64$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.01 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Suns | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.22 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Mavericks | 46c | 250.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.15 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Suns | 16c | 237.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Suns | 51c | 235.86$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…7740backed Mavericks | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Mavericks | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Mavericks | 43c | 224.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.98 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Mavericks | 62c | 220.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Mavericks | 51c | 210.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb75…c9b5backed Mavericks | 73c | 204.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Suns | 49c | 201.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…4ad4backed Suns | 29c | 195.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Mavericks | 46c | 187.78$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Mavericks | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Mavericks | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Mavericks | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Mavericks | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Mavericks | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Mavericks | 52c | 185.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks | 38c | 174.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.16 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Mavericks | 53c | 170.95$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Mavericks | 48c | 168.48$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Mavericks | 49c | 168.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Suns | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 141 | 70.9%100 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Mavericks | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed Suns | 68c | 165.51$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Suns | 62c | 156.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Suns | 16c | 141.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Suns | 16c | 141.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Suns | 16c | 141.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Suns | 52c | 135.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…3dbebacked Mavericks | 48c | 121.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. SunsSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Under won
- Oso Ighodaro: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Suns (-12.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.