Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: RED Canids vs TBK Esports (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53d4e905d32abf7efb369a6520439c5ba6f724dfe52c3c9a817f033db7ede57e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TBK Esportsof RED Canids, TBK Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed TBK Esports | 56c | 1,474$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.64 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed RED Canids | 44c | 597$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.68 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…c5f6backed RED Canids | 36c | 525$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.3 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed RED Canids | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TBK Esports | 53c | 284.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.52 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f72…deadbacked RED Canids | 44c | 129.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed RED Canids | 44c | 102$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…76d7backed RED Canids | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked TBK Esports | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked RED Canids | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed RED Canids | 44c | 39.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…7dcabacked RED Canids | 44c | 34.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked RED Canids | 46c | 31.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed TBK Esports | 50c | 26.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.