Other European Leagues · resolved market
Dundee FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54a0ba5336a6dab6d8a279bd21598c251136dbff6da740fca1520ef2a40d6f73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 76c | 3,297$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.59 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 1,496$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.94 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 702.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.06 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 520.43$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 73c | 329.96$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 23c | 293.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 27c | 183.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 23c | 154.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 77c | 153.7$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed Under | 10c | 140.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 77c | 89.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 24c | 60.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 76c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 73c | 37.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dundee FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Dundee FC vs. Aberdeen FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Dundee FC vs. Aberdeen FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Dundee FC vs. Aberdeen FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dundee FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Dundee FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Dundee FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dundee FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Dundee FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Aberdeen FC (-1.5)Dundee FC won
- Spread: Aberdeen FC (-2.5)Dundee FC won
- Spread: Dundee FC (-2.5)Aberdeen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.