Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
William & Mary vs. Towson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54ea5ae2c775d5989e956834ca922c136e5ecc77065599e45bb2b2b2e2b77dd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Towsonof William & Mary, Towson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d80…c2b7backed William & Mary | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked William & Mary | 33c | 126$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…2b85backed William & Mary | 21c | 126$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked William & Mary | 21c | 126$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa7…faa0backed Towson | 79c | 109$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d67…3704backed William & Mary | 31c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…4c9fbacked Towson | 80c | 86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…0330backed William & Mary | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd981…bbe9backed William & Mary | 21c | 79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1562…db1cbacked William & Mary | 21c | 72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1722…fdcdbacked Towson | 80c | 66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ed…ec2dbacked Towson | 80c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…2197backed Towson | 69c | 62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c5…5647backed William & Mary | 31c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7f…ce06backed William & Mary | 31c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed William & Mary | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Towson | 49c | 49.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8d58backed Towson | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…7547backed Towson | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494f…f53bbacked Towson | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708c…0e36backed William & Mary | 32c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e13…d0b0backed Towson | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3f…d2d2backed Towson | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…b09cbacked Towson | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…41abbacked Towson | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…76dbbacked Towson | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…b745backed Towson | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c65…3cbabacked Towson | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…92aebacked Towson | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316e…301dbacked Towson | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…47cabacked Towson | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fe…0a95backed Towson | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d17…23bcbacked Towson | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…572ebacked Towson | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…5f07backed Towson | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed0…df03backed Towson | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…34b9backed Towson | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…dcf0backed Towson | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.