CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs HAVU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x550522e13e31dcb647fd7b8150ce3d85806a4303a3c109317128b321071b3747
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed HAVU | 1c | 4,004$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…809bbacked HAVU | 1c | 1,527$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TDK | 74c | 772.2$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…9a3bbacked HAVU | 26c | 772.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed TDK | 74c | 695.86$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.96 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HAVU | 29c | 618.73$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.23 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…a7b6backed TDK | 73c | 575.57$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked HAVU | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked HAVU | 27c | 337$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked HAVU | 15c | 234.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed TDK | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 616 | 54.9%338 W · 278 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed HAVU | 24c | 149.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed HAVU | 27c | 131.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked TDK | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 470 | 47.9%225 W · 245 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed TDK | 75c | 48.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed HAVU | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed TDK | 75c | 33.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed TDK | 70c | 31.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked TDK | 73c | 27.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…6628backed TDK | 76c | 27.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs HAVU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs HAVU - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.