Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul 2: Gabriela Knutson vs Irem Kurt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5515892dec2886d6f8bf2a163a3e298f38adaeaa8ec659bb62e3a21b887a1df7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gabriela Knutsonof Gabriela Knutson, Irem Kurt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Irem Kurt | 7c | 17,971$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.46 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Gabriela Knutson | 75c | 12,775$9,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.03 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Irem Kurt | 12c | 8,503$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.96 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Irem Kurt | 20c | 4,404$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.57 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Irem Kurt | 9c | 2,309$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.08 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Irem Kurt | 12c | 2,264$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.15 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Irem Kurt | 13c | 2,135$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.53 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Irem Kurt | 22c | 1,988$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Irem Kurt | 12c | 1,641$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.81 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…0f5abacked Irem Kurt | 11c | 910.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Irem Kurt | 25c | 800.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff1d…ff0dbacked Irem Kurt | 5c | 790.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Irem Kurt | 17c | 689.73$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Irem Kurt | 8c | 635.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Irem Kurt | 4c | 559.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Irem Kurt | 24c | 420.7$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Irem Kurt | 11c | 400$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Irem Kurt | 14c | 270$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Irem Kurt | 9c | 267.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Irem Kurt | 9c | 266.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Irem Kurt | 6c | 250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Irem Kurt | 9c | 243.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Irem Kurt | 11c | 243.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Irem Kurt | 9c | 224.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Irem Kurt | 11c | 178.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 15.5%15 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Irem Kurt | 11c | 174$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…68b6backed Irem Kurt | 13c | 170.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 112 | 14.3%16 W · 96 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5299…c4e0backed Irem Kurt | 15c | 162.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Irem Kurt | 12c | 151.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Irem Kurt | 15c | 131.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Irem Kurt | 17c | 125.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Irem Kurt | 10c | 103.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…ab75backed Irem Kurt | 22c | 93.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Irem Kurt | 13c | 88.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Irem Kurt | 22c | 69.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Gabriela Knutson | 74c | 26.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Gabriela Knutson | 75c | 23.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 217 | 65.9%143 W · 74 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Gabriela Knutson | 73c | 13.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Istanbul 2: Gabriela Knutson vs Irem Kurtthis page
- Set 2 Winner: Knutson vs KurtKurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.