Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stetson vs. Lipscomb
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5529bbab5b4696b3b46a1ae13c455db1cda958e7e63e418e5bdd321a2944ac6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lipscombof Stetson, Lipscomb
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Stetson | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e8…cc01backed Stetson | 51c | 212$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37fc…a9e8backed Lipscomb | 49c | 212$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19da…6c55backed Stetson | 51c | 123$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32f…3916backed Lipscomb | 49c | 123$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…0601backed Lipscomb | 49c | 82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 53cpaid | +91%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…3551backed Stetson | 51c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…7853backed Stetson | 51c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6de7…5924backed Lipscomb | 49c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…e5f7backed Stetson | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…57e5backed Lipscomb | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…04acbacked Lipscomb | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…05eabacked Lipscomb | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…9bd2backed Stetson | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…f7f4backed Stetson | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x957a…43b8backed Stetson | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe517…f8b4backed Stetson | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffb7…fc5abacked Lipscomb | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…8594backed Lipscomb | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5835…45adbacked Lipscomb | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.