TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: North Carolina Central Eagles (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
South Carolina State Bulldogsof North Carolina Central Eagles, South Carolina State Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,205 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Carolina Central Eagles49c2,222$1,089 inLost-$1,088.782,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked South Carolina State Bulldogs51c1,313$670 inWon+$643.5874152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs51c897.78$460 inWon+$438.112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs47c111.96$53 inWon+$59.1693941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed South Carolina State Bulldogs51c100$51 inWon+$4914546.9%68 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0289…6ba5backed North Carolina Central Eagles53c99.24$53 inLost-$52.54650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+76.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed North Carolina Central Eagles40c94.73$38 inLost-$37.683,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed North Carolina Central Eagles49c91.25$45 inLost-$44.711,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a2…8a7fbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs51c55.53$28 inWon+$27.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed South Carolina State Bulldogs52c38.88$20 inWon+$18.8560954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed South Carolina State Bulldogs67c38.2$26 inWon+$12.452,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed South Carolina State Bulldogs68c29.34$20 inWon+$9.535,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed South Carolina State Bulldogs62c27.77$17 inWon+$10.553046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.