La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55d1d8bb1a3805d78b5fc57ff018b37a35def857cd8c7507835912f6fc32a2d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd382…8885backed Yes | 74c | 952.66$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.26 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 72c | 928.53$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.54 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 759.6$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.08 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 638.45$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.26 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 25c | 617$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.75 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…0c91backed Yes | 27c | 600$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 28c | 578.57$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.57 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 572.06$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.68 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 47c | 568.13$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.33 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 68c | 545.31$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.42 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 76c | 319.47$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 22c | 307.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 221$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.44 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…fa11backed Yes | 78c | 196.68$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 73c | 180.37$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 15c | 162.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e4…29debacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…4699backed Yes | 26c | 98.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 21c | 90.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 25c | 80.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…3061backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 26c | 57.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 21c | 52.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4821…d366backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 47.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b1…7a1cbacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 77c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.