Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bradley vs. Drake
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56196782619800b80bf727a85df1ca9f726309b47e877f352068e75b3ed080c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bradleyof Bradley, Drake
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed Drake | 66c | 690$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.4 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bradley | 39c | 415.44$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.31 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Drake | 46c | 210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Bradley | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…9684backed Bradley | 29c | 62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bf…64b7backed Bradley | 29c | 61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…f914backed Bradley | 29c | 61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4e9fbacked Bradley | 29c | 58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82d…d5c3backed Bradley | 29c | 53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…c61abacked Bradley | 29c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 42cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Bradley | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…4717backed Drake | 71c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Drake | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…8d99backed Drake | 71c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…9944backed Drake | 71c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f24…fce7backed Drake | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7043…3458backed Drake | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…7d35backed Drake | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc275…8879backed Drake | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d4…9b42backed Drake | 71c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…c90cbacked Drake | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1f…bfb1backed Drake | 71c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Drake | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99f…230cbacked Drake | 71c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…af42backed Drake | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc48c…4287backed Drake | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77cdbacked Drake | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…4690backed Drake | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.