Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs S2G Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x568022fb627169188392611de24cbe40f8ec670ca03b339057acf65378053592
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- S2G Esportsof Fire Flux Esports, S2G Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x104f…e2d6backed Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 1,565$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1904…6931backed Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 1,551$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…b7f8backed Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 1,547$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…5669backed Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 1,115$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5a…b23bbacked S2G Esports | 68c | 1,115$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacfb…14f8backed S2G Esports | 68c | 1,100$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f0…9fdebacked Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 1,100$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…d4e3backed S2G Esports | 68c | 788$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1972…cac6backed S2G Esports | 68c | 782$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fa…a078backed S2G Esports | 68c | 779$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…c2aebacked S2G Esports | 68c | 777$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d96…e933backed S2G Esports | 68c | 769$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…812dbacked S2G Esports | 68c | 768$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Fire Flux Esports | 36c | 508.06$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 298 | 33.2%99 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed S2G Esports | 64c | 408.06$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked S2G Esports | 66c | 299.41$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Fire Flux Esports | 34c | 229.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed S2G Esports | 71c | 63.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked S2G Esports | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs S2G Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs S2G Esports - Map 1 WinnerS2G Esports won
- Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs S2G Esports - Map 2 WinnerS2G Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.