Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open, Qualification: Ruth Roura vs Dominika Salkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x579dade9b6ce0aaef0d9fe0c477330d9650984de867c6d64d324f2eafad23904
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dominika Salkovaof Ruth Roura, Dominika Salkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd2d…0344backed Ruth Roura | 12c | 7,903$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.47 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ruth Roura | 4c | 4,953$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.77 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Ruth Roura | 4c | 3,889$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.05 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Ruth Roura | 4c | 1,406$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…b54dbacked Ruth Roura | 10c | 1,371$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ruth Roura | 5c | 1,005$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fb…e28fbacked Ruth Roura | 2c | 999.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Ruth Roura | 5c | 704.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede0…ff11backed Ruth Roura | 10c | 663.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Ruth Roura | 8c | 472.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Ruth Roura | 3c | 310$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b9…9b4abacked Ruth Roura | 6c | 275.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Ruth Roura | 12c | 236.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…38c8backed Ruth Roura | 5c | 215.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Ruth Roura | 13c | 203.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ruth Roura | 8c | 181.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Ruth Roura | 21c | 95.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 553 | 60.4%334 W · 219 L | +32.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…b4b4backed Ruth Roura | 15c | 77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Dominika Salkova | 80c | 77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Ruth Roura | 22c | 47.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Dominika Salkova | 79c | 21.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Dominika Salkova | 80c | 14.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.