Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57b58c36a328e012115e3c5df1be1a36a54d8f98c09141ad7f8dbdd245fdef85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aarhus GFof Aarhus GF, Viborg FF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Aarhus GF | 66c | 2,011$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.06 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Viborg FF | 34c | 1,856$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Viborg FF | 34c | 881.51$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aarhus GF | 66c | 774.07$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.42 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Viborg FF | 78c | 634.39$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.23 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Aarhus GF | 38c | 411.9$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.22 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Aarhus GF | 23c | 193.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.38 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Viborg FF | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…dfb5backed Aarhus GF | 69c | 111.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Viborg FF | 37c | 79.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Aarhus GF | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Aarhus GF | 66c | 29.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)this page
- Aarhus GF vs. Viborg FF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aarhus GF vs. Viborg FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Viborg FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Viborg FF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Viborg FF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)Aarhus GF won
- Spread: Viborg FF (-1.5)Aarhus GF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.