Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Appalachian State vs. Georgia Southern
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57c95d376a9e04a8a9e0e46fa46b788ab5fa5d7b92b2498a748dd6353784e9b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Southernof Appalachian State, Georgia Southern
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Appalachian State | 50c | 259$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Appalachian State | 52c | 214.72$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…3ae6backed Appalachian State | 51c | 146$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd68…a7c8backed Georgia Southern | 50c | 121$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…8213backed Appalachian State | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c2…a5ecbacked Georgia Southern | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…a80cbacked Georgia Southern | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…b117backed Appalachian State | 57c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…15c1backed Appalachian State | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac7…64c1backed Appalachian State | 51c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…4c20backed Appalachian State | 50c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…9a01backed Georgia Southern | 49c | 67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14e…a878backed Appalachian State | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…61e2backed Georgia Southern | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…d19dbacked Georgia Southern | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2e…515cbacked Appalachian State | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef12…300dbacked Georgia Southern | 49c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…4822backed Appalachian State | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3e…4c40backed Georgia Southern | 43c | 49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb245…7631backed Georgia Southern | 30c | 44.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Appalachian State | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcabb…e3cfbacked Georgia Southern | 43c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…7cf5backed Georgia Southern | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…09f9backed Georgia Southern | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…faafbacked Georgia Southern | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b2…0e7cbacked Appalachian State | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…de70backed Appalachian State | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2372…75a7backed Appalachian State | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…6a44backed Georgia Southern | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…a095backed Georgia Southern | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…e4edbacked Georgia Southern | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…7b97backed Appalachian State | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…958ebacked Georgia Southern | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…b952backed Appalachian State | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa33…e699backed Appalachian State | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451b…7d2bbacked Georgia Southern | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…9c1abacked Georgia Southern | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0e…60e7backed Georgia Southern | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15af…4e3cbacked Appalachian State | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea6…0cd3backed Appalachian State | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.