CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5890d6eeb4284f5dcfd19ddf30e6de6d303bb6a35147643a33d02dc4b238d951
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof HEROIC Academy, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked HEROIC Academy | 33c | 354.75$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 256.62$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 75c | 162.29$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 150.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked HEROIC Academy | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed HEROIC Academy | 26c | 102.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HEROIC Academy | 28c | 97.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 74.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked HEROIC Academy | 53c | 58.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…a1f4backed HEROIC Academy | 18c | 56.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HEROIC Academy | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked HEROIC Academy | 21c | 52.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…cfa8backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed HEROIC Academy | 22c | 45.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…9a3dbacked HEROIC Academy | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HEROIC Academy | 29c | 37.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…d64ebacked HEROIC Academy | 40c | 37.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked HEROIC Academy | 29c | 36.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed HEROIC Academy | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 19.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Rune Eaters | 72c | 14.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group StageRune Eaters won
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.