CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a623e1efc501fed80359449da193272b9eda4e10cf8b6c62604fbe0458a93d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof Sashi Esport, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 46c | 857.16$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.31 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Sashi Esport | 54c | 804.98$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.69 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sashi Esport | 60c | 500$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.86 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ex-RUBY | 62c | 458$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.26 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUBY | 46c | 244.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.92 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed ex-RUBY | 39c | 244$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.84 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sashi Esport | 45c | 241.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Sashi Esport | 54c | 230.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY | 41c | 168.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sashi Esport | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Sashi Esport | 36c | 77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Sashi Esport | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Sashi Esport | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Sashi Esport | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Sashi Esport | 53c | 73.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Sashi Esport | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Sashi Esport | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 35.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed Sashi Esport | 51c | 31.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Sashi Esport | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked ex-RUBY | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 28.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Sashi Esport | 53c | 27.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.